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Red32
888913.9
78697.6
457213.5
Blue70
801321.2
199121.7
15524.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315902040801003270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8889
#25
13.90.1
12.812.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 10.3
155
#7
24.21.2
21.022.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.7
End4.7
Second
4572
#22
13.50.1
11.711.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.5
blue by 8.2
21.71.2
13.915.1
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Third
7869
#36
7.60.1
8.38.3
Auto3.3
Teleop2.0
End2.4
blue by 13.6
8013
#12
21.21.2
17.218.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned