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Red68
425556.9
35963.4
69652.2
Blue196
441471.8
58162.8
449968.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441655010020025068196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#15
63.42.3
65.062.7
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End1.3
blue by 8.3
71.80.0
71.271.3
Auto12.1
Teleop57.8
End1.0
Second
4255
#36
56.92.3
59.256.9
Auto12.5
Teleop40.2
End0.8
blue by 11.6
4499
#18
68.50.0
68.068.1
Auto11.7
Teleop52.1
End-0.0
Third
696
#2
52.22.3
53.851.5
Auto9.4
Teleop43.1
End0.2
blue by 10.7
581
#22
62.80.0
62.362.4
Auto11.0
Teleop50.1
End0.3