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Red216
603675.1
204667.1
594067.2
Blue190
153862.7
715756.1
347667.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17115150100200250216190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.10.4
75.976.3
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
red by 7.2
67.90.2
68.168.4
Auto11.8
Teleop52.2
End0.6
Second
5940
#30
67.20.4
68.068.5
Auto15.6
Teleop46.9
End1.0
red by 4.5
1538
#24
62.70.2
63.063.2
Auto11.6
Teleop49.2
End0.8
Third
2046
#19
67.10.4
67.968.3
Auto14.2
Teleop45.9
End1.5
red by 11.0
7157
#31
56.10.2
56.456.6
Auto9.0
Teleop43.5
End1.0