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Red193
384763.8
353851.9
97158.2
Blue150
427061.7
14867.1
207567.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138170050100200250300350193150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.80.3
62.863.0
Auto10.8
Teleop51.0
End0.6
blue by 3.7
2075
#10
67.51.0
68.667.5
Auto15.5
Teleop46.9
End1.3
Second
971
#29
58.20.3
57.157.4
Auto11.6
Teleop45.6
End0.7
blue by 8.9
148
#14
67.11.0
68.167.1
Auto11.3
Teleop51.6
End1.6
Third
3538
#21
51.90.3
50.851.1
Auto9.8
Teleop42.9
End-0.1
blue by 9.9
61.71.0
62.861.7
Auto10.6
Teleop48.0
End1.9