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Red185
69652.2
35963.4
473854.7
Blue159
153862.7
715756.1
347667.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142156050100200250300185159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#15
63.40.4
62.763.1
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End1.3
blue by 4.5
67.90.5
68.467.9
Auto11.8
Teleop52.2
End0.6
Second
4738
#33
54.70.4
54.054.4
Auto12.4
Teleop41.3
End-0.1
blue by 8.0
1538
#24
62.70.5
63.262.7
Auto11.6
Teleop49.2
End0.8
Third
696
#2
52.20.4
51.551.9
Auto9.4
Teleop43.1
End0.2
blue by 3.9
7157
#31
56.10.5
56.656.1
Auto9.0
Teleop43.5
End1.0