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Red221
25484.1
541947.2
167884.2
Blue218
546065.9
161965.6
291071.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174156100200250221218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.20.1
84.084.1
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
red by 12.4
71.80.4
71.271.6
Auto11.3
Teleop52.8
End1.6
Second
254
#3
84.10.1
83.984.0
Auto16.0
Teleop63.5
End1.1
red by 18.2
5460
#20
65.90.4
65.365.7
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
Third
5419
#11
47.20.1
47.147.2
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
blue by 18.5
1619
#28
65.60.4
64.865.2
Auto15.4
Teleop45.9
End0.5