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Red207
449968.5
58162.8
441471.8
Blue213
594067.2
204667.1
603675.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166164130140150160170180190200210207213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.80.3
71.371.6
Auto12.1
Teleop57.8
End1.0
blue by 3.3
75.10.2
76.376.5
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
Second
4499
#18
68.50.3
68.168.3
Auto11.7
Teleop52.1
End-0.0
red by 1.3
5940
#30
67.20.2
68.568.7
Auto15.6
Teleop46.9
End1.0
Third
581
#22
62.80.3
62.462.6
Auto11.0
Teleop50.1
End0.3
blue by 4.2
2046
#19
67.10.2
68.368.5
Auto14.2
Teleop45.9
End1.5