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Match 22023 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red103
13541.5
548449.4
82949.8
Blue153
317644.6
174143.9
348746.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15113880100120160180200103153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#12
49.80.8
49.5→48.7
Auto11.8
Teleop30.9
End6.7
red by 3.1
3487
#7
46.80.4
45.8→46.1
Auto14.1
Teleop24.8
End7.5
Second
5484
#5
49.40.8
49.1→48.3
Auto15.4
Teleop24.8
End9.3
red by 4.8
3176
#19
44.60.4
43.6→44.0
Auto7.8
Teleop31.1
End5.2
Third
135
#18
41.50.8
41.2→40.4
Auto9.7
Teleop24.0
End7.8
blue by 2.4
1741
#16
43.90.4
42.9→43.3
Auto10.9
Teleop25.3
End7.2