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Red142
595137.6
822326.0
333958.7
Blue173
307549.4
157454.4
194239.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95117050150200250300350142173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.5
58.358.7
Auto10.6
Teleop45.3
End1.3
red by 4.3
54.40.5
51.351.9
Auto11.9
Teleop41.7
End0.6
Second
37.60.5
37.137.6
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End0.4
blue by 11.8
3075
#20
49.40.5
46.346.8
Auto9.5
Teleop38.6
End1.2
Third
8223
#24
26.00.5
25.526.0
Auto3.9
Teleop22.5
End-0.2
blue by 13.9
1942
#13
39.90.5
36.837.3
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End0.3