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Red197
157770.2
169072.0
673835.3
Blue172
263054.1
173169.1
321138.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1441296080100120160180200220197172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.7
70.871.5
Auto14.5
Teleop55.2
End-0.4
red by 2.9
69.10.4
68.368.7
Auto11.1
Teleop55.4
End0.5
Second
70.20.7
69.069.7
Auto8.6
Teleop57.2
End1.3
red by 16.1
54.10.4
53.353.6
Auto10.2
Teleop42.0
End0.8
Third
6738
#23
35.30.7
34.234.8
Auto5.2
Teleop29.1
End1.2
blue by 3.1
3211
#12
38.30.4
37.537.9
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End0.0