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Red168
194239.9
157454.4
307549.4
Blue146
331641.9
599038.3
223150.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11610720406080140160180168146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.7
51.952.6
Auto11.9
Teleop41.7
End0.6
red by 4.1
2231
#19
50.30.1
50.250.3
Auto6.7
Teleop41.7
End1.5
Second
3075
#20
49.40.7
46.847.5
Auto9.5
Teleop38.6
End1.2
red by 7.4
41.90.1
41.841.9
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End1.4
Third
1942
#13
39.90.7
37.338.0
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End0.3
red by 1.5
5990
#27
38.30.1
38.238.3
Auto7.8
Teleop31.3
End-1.0