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Red153
561440.2
209650.5
598757.1
Blue181
331641.9
599038.3
223150.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128104050150200153181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#15
57.10.2
56.957.1
Auto10.9
Teleop43.1
End0.9
red by 6.8
2231
#19
50.30.8
49.450.2
Auto6.7
Teleop41.7
End1.5
Second
50.50.2
50.350.5
Auto7.7
Teleop42.6
End-0.3
red by 8.6
41.90.8
41.041.8
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End1.4
Third
5614
#22
40.20.2
39.940.2
Auto11.0
Teleop27.7
End1.2
red by 1.8
5990
#27
38.30.8
37.438.2
Auto7.8
Teleop31.3
End-1.0