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Red158
595137.6
822326.0
333958.7
Blue162
263054.1
173169.1
321138.3
19%Model gave it81%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90138050150200250158162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.9
57.458.3
Auto10.6
Teleop45.3
End1.3
blue by 10.4
69.10.1
68.268.3
Auto11.1
Teleop55.4
End0.5
Second
37.60.9
36.337.1
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End0.4
blue by 16.5
54.10.1
53.153.3
Auto10.2
Teleop42.0
End0.8
Third
8223
#24
26.00.9
24.725.5
Auto3.9
Teleop22.5
End-0.2
blue by 12.3
3211
#12
38.30.1
37.437.5
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End0.0