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Red175
908450.2
17758.4
452268.9
Blue173
264256.0
859257.4
17956.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183171120140160200220240175173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.0
69.269.2
Auto15.1
Teleop40.1
End11.4
red by 11.6
8592
#23
57.40.1
57.257.4
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End6.0
Second
177
#28
58.40.0
58.658.6
Auto11.1
Teleop36.6
End8.4
red by 2.4
179
#12
56.00.1
55.956.0
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End6.9
Third
9084
#20
50.20.0
50.450.4
Auto12.3
Teleop29.0
End8.6
blue by 5.8
2642
#31
56.00.1
55.956.0
Auto15.2
Teleop31.3
End8.1