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Red120
156146.0
642461.3
233334.9
Blue134
316033.6
464643.2
500646.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212250100200120134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.6
60.860.1
Auto15.0
Teleop37.1
End8.7
red by 14.7
46.50.4
44.845.1
Auto12.3
Teleop26.2
End8.1
Second
46.00.6
45.544.8
Auto10.6
Teleop25.2
End10.1
red by 2.8
4646
#17
43.20.4
41.441.8
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End6.7
Third
2333
#34
34.90.6
34.433.8
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.2
red by 1.4
3160
#29
33.60.4
31.832.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End7.0