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Red99
293514.8
497645.7
124135.8
Blue147
492029.8
128534.5
86519.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10780406012014016099147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.1
45.845.7
Auto12.5
Teleop24.2
End9.0
red by 11.2
34.50.8
32.633.4
Auto10.6
Teleop17.1
End6.8
Second
35.80.1
35.935.8
Auto8.8
Teleop20.3
End6.8
red by 6.0
4920
#14
29.80.8
27.928.7
Auto12.4
Teleop9.3
End8.1
Third
2935
#28
14.80.1
14.914.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.9
End3.7
blue by 4.7
865
#21
19.50.8
17.618.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End6.2