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Red90
720016.5
406930.3
909829.6
Blue97
136024.4
490329.2
588522.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81780501001509097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.30.3
30.030.3
Auto8.8
Teleop15.8
End5.7
red by 1.1
4903
#26
29.20.4
28.529.0
Auto7.9
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Second
29.60.3
29.329.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.9
End6.3
red by 5.3
1360
#10
24.40.4
23.724.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End8.9
Third
7200
#20
16.50.3
16.216.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End3.7
blue by 5.8
5885
#15
22.30.4
21.722.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End6.6