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Red131
434339.8
201347.6
270641.9
Blue149
468849.6
492047.3
86537.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13313950100150200131149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#21
47.60.1
47.747.6
Auto14.2
Teleop26.4
End6.3
blue by 2.0
49.60.4
48.849.2
Auto10.9
Teleop29.8
End8.4
Second
2706
#22
41.90.1
42.041.9
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End8.3
blue by 5.4
4920
#10
47.30.4
46.547.0
Auto14.1
Teleop24.7
End7.5
Third
4343
#12
39.80.1
39.939.8
Auto11.8
Teleop22.3
End5.6
red by 2.1
865
#15
37.60.4
36.937.3
Auto10.8
Teleop17.7
End9.1