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Red139
128538.8
61047.8
131049.8
Blue160
270827.4
111458.5
502450.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144143120130140150160139160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#11
49.80.1
49.749.8
Auto16.3
Teleop23.5
End9.6
blue by 8.7
1114
#17
58.50.4
57.858.2
Auto14.6
Teleop35.5
End8.0
Second
610
#13
47.80.1
47.747.8
Auto14.2
Teleop24.1
End8.7
blue by 2.4
50.10.4
49.449.8
Auto12.8
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Third
1285
#36
38.80.1
38.738.8
Auto12.0
Teleop20.9
End6.0
red by 11.4
2708
#29
27.40.4
26.727.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2