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Red176
494661.4
872931.3
467871.9
Blue162
403960.1
260950.2
491743.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163156130140150170180190200176162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.90.4
69.169.5
Auto19.4
Teleop43.3
End7.3
red by 11.8
60.10.3
59.059.4
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End7.2
Second
61.40.4
58.558.9
Auto15.5
Teleop35.8
End8.8
red by 11.2
2609
#14
50.20.3
49.149.5
Auto13.1
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Third
8729
#25
31.30.4
28.528.9
Auto9.2
Teleop13.3
End8.9
blue by 12.5
4917
#23
43.90.3
42.943.2
Auto11.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4