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Red168
406951.1
490763.8
133429.1
Blue163
132567.1
490355.6
373936.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152163050100200250300350400168163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.80.5
63.964.4
Auto15.7
Teleop38.1
End9.2
blue by 3.2
67.10.3
65.265.4
Auto16.7
Teleop39.4
End9.6
Second
51.10.5
51.251.7
Auto14.5
Teleop28.5
End8.2
blue by 4.5
55.60.3
53.854.0
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End7.7
Third
1334
#20
29.10.5
29.229.7
Auto8.3
Teleop12.4
End8.6
blue by 7.2
3739
#38
36.30.3
34.534.7
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End5.7