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Red166
491743.9
260950.2
403960.1
Blue155
270827.4
111458.5
502450.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16014180100120180200220166155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.10.4
59.459.8
Auto15.6
Teleop35.8
End7.2
red by 1.6
1114
#17
58.50.3
58.258.5
Auto14.6
Teleop35.5
End8.0
Second
2609
#14
50.20.4
49.549.9
Auto13.1
Teleop28.2
End8.7
Level
50.10.3
49.850.1
Auto12.8
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Third
4917
#23
43.90.4
43.243.6
Auto11.6
Teleop24.5
End7.4
red by 16.5
2708
#29
27.40.3
27.127.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End6.2