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Red0
353848.1
999729.3
136031.2
Blue5
132548.5
124141.8
491720.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12015404006008001,0001,2001,40005

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
48.12.8
53.650.7
Auto11.5
Teleop31.4
End5.4
blue by 0.4
1325
#13
48.53.0
59.656.6
Auto13.5
Teleop25.0
End8.0
Second
1360
#16
31.22.8
36.733.9
Auto8.7
Teleop14.9
End7.7
blue by 10.5
41.83.0
52.849.8
Auto10.4
Teleop25.5
End4.4
Third
29.34.1
37.233.1
Auto10.3
Teleop12.1
End7.1
red by 8.6
4917
#26
20.83.0
31.828.8
Auto5.2
Teleop12.1
End3.0