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Red0
111451.6
4845.0
373924.6
Blue10
494639.6
447646.1
316132.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161160050100150010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#12
51.63.3
60.757.4
Auto10.4
Teleop31.9
End7.4
red by 5.6
46.13.2
58.054.9
Auto12.3
Teleop24.2
End8.2
Second
48
#2
45.03.3
54.050.7
Auto10.9
Teleop25.7
End7.5
red by 5.4
4946
#24
39.63.2
51.548.4
Auto11.2
Teleop21.9
End5.1
Third
3739
#18
24.63.3
33.630.3
Auto7.7
Teleop13.1
End4.6
blue by 7.5
3161
#17
32.13.2
44.040.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.7