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Red105
609036.6
207547.1
68656.9
Blue117
327642.9
235733.7
171432.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84109204060100120140160105117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#21
47.11.1
40.641.7
Auto14.3
Teleop28.4
End4.4
red by 4.2
3276
#24
42.91.1
36.637.7
Auto12.8
Teleop25.9
End4.2
Second
6090
#33
36.61.1
32.233.3
Auto12.5
Teleop20.5
End3.6
red by 2.9
33.71.1
31.632.7
Auto10.5
Teleop17.9
End5.3
Third
6865
#75
6.91.1
6.07.1
Auto7.5
Teleop-1.4
End0.8
blue by 25.2
1714
#54
32.01.1
27.328.5
Auto11.0
Teleop19.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsEarned