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Red80
705630.3
34134.3
68656.9
Blue81
365530.3
376732.7
107113.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748802040601001201408081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#47
34.30.1
33.033.1
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End3.1
red by 1.5
3767
#32
32.70.8
31.430.6
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End2.9
Second
7056
#34
30.30.1
30.530.5
Auto12.3
Teleop15.5
End2.4
blue by 0.1
3655
#13
30.30.8
29.929.0
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.7
Third
6865
#75
6.90.1
5.45.4
Auto7.5
Teleop-1.4
End0.8
blue by 6.2
1071
#72
13.10.8
17.016.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned