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Red16
99724.7
91909.0
99924.2
Blue16
99992.3
88766.8
92755.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2720010405060701616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9190
Unranked
9.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
red by 2.2
8876
Unranked
6.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Second
9972
Unranked
4.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 0.9
9275
Unranked
5.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End0.9
Third
9992
Unranked
4.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
red by 1.9
9999
Unranked
2.3
Auto1.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed