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Red16
71137.8
99981.4
99865.6
Blue55
99716.5
919121.1
999021.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463001001501655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7113
Unranked
7.80.6
10.710.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
blue by 14.1
9990
Unranked
21.93.4
5.79.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End1.3
Second
9986
Unranked
5.60.6
3.52.8
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 15.5
9191
Unranked
21.13.4
10.514.0
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Third
9998
Unranked
1.40.6
3.52.8
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.2
End0.3
blue by 5.1
9971
Unranked
6.53.4
3.97.3
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed