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Red66
207328.8
96669.3
242925.8
Blue54
767315.2
432217.5
441921.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6125040801001201401606654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#10
28.81.0
22.323.3
Auto11.8
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 6.9
21.92.4
10.613.0
Auto8.4
Teleop12.3
End1.3
Second
25.81.0
19.620.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.4
End1.9
red by 8.3
4322
#23
17.51.8
10.011.7
Auto8.0
Teleop9.0
End0.4
Third
9666
#29
9.31.5
9.310.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
blue by 5.9
7673
#11
15.22.2
6.58.7
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed