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Red58
801610.1
397022.8
817.1
Blue55
25516.8
947014.5
84122.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554802040801001205855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.3
22.222.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.4
End1.4
red by 0.2
841
#34
22.60.7
21.821.1
Auto6.3
Teleop15.4
End0.8
Second
8
#28
17.10.3
16.616.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End0.4
red by 2.6
9470
#35
14.50.7
14.513.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Third
8016
#45
10.10.3
10.410.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.7
End1.3
red by 3.3
2551
#47
6.80.7
7.87.1
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned