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Red55
167124.0
46436.2
641819.2
Blue70
11523.1
60597.8
228820.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555435404550606570755570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#10
24.00.3
23.523.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End2.5
red by 0.9
115
#7
23.11.1
22.723.8
Auto9.8
Teleop12.6
End0.8
Second
6418
#26
19.20.3
19.018.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
blue by 0.8
2288
#12
20.01.1
19.720.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.8
End3.3
Third
4643
#46
6.20.3
7.16.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 1.6
6059
#39
7.81.1
6.37.4
Auto5.7
Teleop2.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed