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Red50
527417.8
696224.4
348211.9
Blue35
359812.4
502611.5
741915.6
70%Model gave it30%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624802040801001205035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.6
24.223.6
Auto12.0
Teleop11.8
End0.6
red by 8.8
7419
#38
15.61.6
16.815.2
Auto6.9
Teleop7.1
End1.6
Second
5274
#13
17.80.6
17.617.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 5.4
3598
#21
12.41.6
13.912.3
Auto7.3
Teleop3.6
End1.4
Third
3482
#30
11.90.6
12.812.2
Auto7.3
Teleop4.4
End0.2
red by 0.4
5026
#40
11.51.6
14.112.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned