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Red22
7016.5
876819.9
54306.3
Blue97
84617.8
107216.4
425518.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354602060801001201402297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8768
#27
19.90.7
20.019.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End2.1
red by 1.9
4255
#29
18.02.4
14.617.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Second
701
#43
6.50.7
7.26.5
Auto4.5
Teleop0.7
End1.3
blue by 11.3
846
#41
17.82.4
12.314.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
5430
#51
6.30.7
5.85.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End1.1
blue by 10.1
1072
#32
16.42.4
13.616.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed