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Red66
304520.7
41598.0
167842.1
Blue48
247310.5
841B20.9
661921.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795701001506648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.2
39.739.5
Auto17.3
Teleop20.1
End4.6
red by 20.8
6619
#23
21.30.7
21.620.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Second
3045
#18
20.70.2
21.120.9
Auto8.9
Teleop10.4
End1.4
blue by 0.2
841B
#14
20.91.1
20.819.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.1
End1.7
Third
4159
#44
8.00.2
8.17.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 2.5
2473
#48
10.50.7
11.510.8
Auto6.6
Teleop2.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed