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Red84
454117.2
242115.9
40122.8
Blue72
511516.5
409928.8
42228.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65734060801001208472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#27
22.80.9
24.825.7
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
blue by 6.0
422
#30
28.80.1
27.327.4
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
Second
4541
#47
17.20.9
21.121.9
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 11.6
28.80.1
22.522.6
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
Third
2421
#34
15.90.9
14.215.0
Auto7.6
Teleop5.3
End3.0
blue by 0.6
5115
#43
16.50.1
15.615.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned