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Red64
172017.3
540221.6
86833.5
Blue87
150136.0
46138.8
518821.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761052040601201401606487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#4
33.50.5
34.634.1
Auto15.3
Teleop15.0
End3.3
blue by 5.3
461
#1
38.80.3
36.336.0
Auto12.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
Second
5402
#34
21.60.5
19.018.5
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End2.1
blue by 14.4
36.00.3
33.633.3
Auto13.0
Teleop16.9
End6.1
Third
1720
#33
17.30.5
18.417.8
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 3.8
5188
#31
21.20.3
21.521.2
Auto10.3
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsEarned