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Red111
276741.4
590736.1
413022.4
Blue73
376731.3
501026.9
32115.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119835010015020011173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#21
41.40.4
43.744.1
Auto12.4
Teleop23.1
End5.8
red by 10.1
3767
#41
31.30.4
32.732.3
Auto13.4
Teleop14.8
End3.1
Second
5907
#17
36.10.4
34.735.1
Auto14.2
Teleop18.7
End3.3
red by 9.2
5010
#36
26.90.4
30.630.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End1.6
Third
4130
#40
22.40.4
25.225.5
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
red by 6.6
321
#43
15.80.4
15.715.3
Auto10.3
Teleop5.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
71%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsMissed