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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456720608010012053116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.9
22.123.0
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End1.1
blue by 8.1
33.22.7
29.031.7
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End1.2
Second
3452
#16
11.80.9
12.613.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End0.9
blue by 8.0
9208
#12
19.82.5
17.119.6
Auto8.8
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
4337
#29
8.60.9
8.49.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 4.8
9566
#14
13.42.5
11.514.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned