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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40220103050607080296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#9
14.60.4
15.314.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.4
End1.5
red by 4.8
5462
#26
9.81.6
9.78.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End0.8
Second
4983
#24
11.50.4
11.811.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.6
red by 5.0
9228
#30
6.51.4
8.57.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.1
Third
7809
#21
6.70.4
6.76.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.6
End1.3
red by 2.2
9754
#31
4.41.4
4.02.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed