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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44240102030506070803725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.2
14.814.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.9
blue by 0.2
5066
#15
15.50.1
13.713.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Second
8423
#36
9.90.2
10.210.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
red by 3.8
5704
#37
6.10.1
5.65.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Third
4216
#25
9.70.2
12.312.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.0
red by 5.7
4568
#39
4.00.1
4.84.9
Auto1.2
Teleop2.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed