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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214406080946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6591
#38
6.51.1
9.07.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 13.3
7226
#12
19.80.8
17.618.4
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Second
9183
#32
5.71.1
6.75.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.3
blue by 5.6
7790
#24
11.30.8
12.413.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Third
9209
#35
5.51.1
6.04.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 0.7
8374
#40
6.30.8
6.87.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed