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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52382060805844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.2
26.526.7
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 14.1
5144
#18
14.20.7
15.514.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Second
5577
#27
15.80.2
15.816.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 2.5
13.30.7
13.713.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
6556
#34
3.70.2
3.33.6
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.3
blue by 3.3
7221
#26
7.00.7
7.36.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned