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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707640506080901001107060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8612
#30
23.70.4
24.024.4
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
blue by 3.2
857
#32
26.90.5
28.127.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Second
6120
#37
20.60.4
20.521.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
blue by 0.7
3618
#33
21.40.5
22.021.5
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End2.9
Third
5577
#29
20.40.4
19.319.7
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 2.5
6152
#36
17.90.5
17.717.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed