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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831184060100140160101111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.1
38.139.2
Auto12.2
Teleop22.0
End5.5
blue by 3.4
43.10.6
43.243.7
Auto15.6
Teleop22.9
End4.6
Second
815
#21
24.51.1
22.423.5
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 8.1
1250
#10
32.60.6
32.833.4
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End3.5
Third
6078
#24
20.61.1
18.519.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
blue by 5.0
2337
#23
25.60.6
26.627.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsEarned