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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019860801201401609696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#6
35.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
blue by 7.3
43.1
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
Second
30.6
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
red by 0.3
4998
#20
30.3
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End2.5
Third
3534
#22
27.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
red by 6.7
2771
#15
21.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsEarned40%Ensemble oddsMissed