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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95947080901001101209494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.0
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
red by 5.9
1076
#18
31.1
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
Second
818
#1
34.0
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
red by 5.3
7226
#19
28.7
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Third
8280
#40
14.4
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 11.3
244
#26
25.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed