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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6075020401001206280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#35
26.80.4
23.523.8
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6
blue by 6.2
2959
#12
33.00.1
30.530.4
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End2.5
Second
9558
#25
18.50.4
20.120.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End2.3
blue by 1.0
4422
#27
19.50.1
21.221.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
Third
2224
#38
14.40.4
12.813.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
red by 1.9
8424
#34
12.50.1
14.314.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned