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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104822040601201401608764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.3
43.743.4
Auto15.6
Teleop22.9
End4.6
red by 15.4
7056
#16
27.71.2
28.727.5
Auto11.3
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Second
32.20.3
34.133.8
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
red by 6.6
2337
#23
25.61.2
27.226.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
4453
#31
10.60.3
13.513.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.7
blue by 10.0
6120
#37
20.61.2
21.019.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed