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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101735015012376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.3
40.842.1
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
red by 7.3
33
#6
35.80.2
32.732.5
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
Second
3414
#13
27.01.3
23.725.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End2.0
red by 6.5
6078
#24
20.60.2
19.619.4
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
Third
815
#21
24.51.3
23.524.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End2.5
red by 6.7
6152
#36
17.90.2
17.217.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsMissed