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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72650501001506872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#12
24.20.2
21.121.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
blue by 3.8
548
#8
28.00.5
22.422.9
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Second
4405
#17
23.50.2
24.124.4
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 1.5
5084
#35
25.00.5
26.526.9
Auto8.8
Teleop13.5
End2.8
Third
3602
#38
19.50.2
19.519.7
Auto8.0
Teleop8.7
End2.8
red by 5.4
6085
#39
14.20.5
11.111.6
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsEarned